Saturday, December 27, 2008

Dan Haren vs Ervin Santana

Recently in a fantasy baseball league I was offered Ervin Santana for Dan Haren. I was well aware of Haren's stats, but I was not very familiar with Santana's, besides his record. So I decided to look deeper into these two pitchers and I was surprised with what I found.

Dan Haren:

W - 16
L - 8
ERA - 3.33
WHIP - 1.13
K/9 - 8.58
BAA - .251
BABIP - .315
LOB% - 73.4%

Ervin Santana:

W - 16
L - 7
ERA - 3.49
WHIP - 1.12
K/9 - 8.79
BAA - .243
BABIP - .302
LOB% - 74.3%

As you can see their seasons were eerily similar even though most people think of Haren as being a higher caliber pitcher. Even though these pitchers are statistically similar, Ervin Santana (25) is three years younger than Dan Haren (28). This raises the question of whether Ervin Santana will become a top 5 American League pitcher within the same manor that Dan Haren did with the Oakland Athletics, when he broke out in 2007. This is worthy of keeping an eye on in the coming season.

Both pitchers broke into the league at the age of 22, however Santana has found success at an earlier age than Haren.

Haren (22):

IP - 72.2
W - 3
L - 7
ERA - 5.08
WHIP - 1.46
K/9 - 5.33

Santana (22):

IP - 133.2
W - 12
L - 8
ERA - 4.65
WHIP - 1.39
K/9 - 6.67

It is evident by these stats that Santana's first year at age 22 was better than Haren's first year at the age of 22. Based on their past performances and their stats now, it seems like young Ervin Santana should develop into a Dan Haren type pitcher in his prime.

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